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2024-12-14 10:22:42

The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.The central bank's statement shows that the exchange rate will not have room for further sharp depreciation, which can dispel the market's doubts. Judging from the recent exchange rate trend, it has kept a high level and fluctuated sideways. This week's closing did not fall below 7.26, so although it temporarily returned below 7.3, in fact, the depreciation trend in the medium term has not changed substantially. There is nothing to worry about in this position. In the future, we are optimistic about gradual appreciation, but the process will be slower.


Judging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.The concept of providing for the aged and the concept of silver-haired economy also belong to the big consumption field, so there are still many sub-sectors in the consumption sector that are worth exploring, and this field has a broad prospect. After all, the aging process will accelerate again, and the certainty of the foreseeable future is still relatively large.Statement of works: The contents are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.


The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.The "Opinions" pointed out: enhance the awareness of young people to prepare for the old, and cultivate the concept of social public pension finance; Study and create special financial bonds for the aged and theme financial bonds for the aged, and the funds raised are mainly used in related fields for the aged; Expand the credit supply for the development of silver-haired economic business entities and industrial clusters; Support qualified listed silver-haired economic enterprises to refinance, merge and reorganize by issuing shares; Strengthen the design and investment management of pension financial products, and support long-term high-quality assets with matching pension financial product investment and pension characteristics; Guide financial institutions to increase support and accelerate the development of pension financial services.

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